His other best groups, at 52 percent support, are non-college graduates, rural residents and those with lower household incomes. The most pro-Trump group among Republicans and GOP leaners is those who call themselves very conservative – 55 percent back him for the nomination, the only group to do so by a statistically significant margin. Forty-nine percent now would like to see the party pick a different candidate. On the Republican side, overall 44 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents would like to see Trump as the party's nominee, similar to 47 percent in September these compare with 67 percent support for him to be the nominee heading into the 2020 contest. The sample size for that group is small and the difference is within the margin of error. Indeed, the only group in which he's even numerically above water in support for the nomination is Black Democrats, who divide 47-41 percent on the question. Still, even among mainline Democrats, just 39 percent would like to see Biden as the nominee 50 percent think not. Anti-Biden sentiment on this measure reaches 72 percent among independents. Among 18- to 39-year-olds, 69 percent would like to see the party choose someone other than Biden, who already is the nation's oldest president. Two Democratic groups stand out as most opposed to Biden for the nomination – younger adults and Democratic-leaning independents. That's no better than it was for Biden last September, 35-56 percent. NOMINATION NATION – Just 31 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say the party should nominate Biden for re-election 58 percent say it should pick someone else. Nonetheless, because independents are less firmly rooted in partisan predispositions, they can be movable – making their economic sentiment a measure to watch as the 2024 campaign heats up. Worse-off independents disproportionately lean Republican and better/same independents largely lean Democratic. Among independents who are in the same shape or better off financially as when he took office, by contrast, Biden's approval vaults to 67 percent and he leads Trump by 62-29 percent. Perhaps more telling, given independents' usual swing-voter role, is this: Among worse-off independents, Biden has a mere 12 percent approval rating and Trump leads him in vote preference by 82-8 percent. The previous high was 36 percent among registered voters in September 2011, amid a plethora of economic troubles including 9 percent unemployment.īiden's approval rating is vastly lower among worse-off Americans than others – unsurprising given the disproportionate number of Republicans in their ranks. That spiked to 35 percent under Biden a year ago, and its level now, 41 percent, is the most measured in 33 ABC/Post polls since September 1986. As noted, fewer, 16 percent, now say the same about life under Biden.Īfter Trump's first year, just 13 percent felt worse off financially. Nearly two years into Trump's presidency, 25 percent of Americans said they'd gotten better off since he took office. That's produced widespread economic pain. Twenty-nine percent think Trump was unintentionally wrong 20 percent see no wrongdoing on his part.īETTER OFF? – Inflation peaked at 9.1 percent in last June, a 40-year high it's eased since but remained a still-high 6.5 percent in December. Just 16 percent think he did nothing wrong. Forty-eight percent think he acted wrongly, but not intentionally, in handling classified documents. That doesn't mean Biden is fully off the hook in terms of public attitudes on the issue.
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